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Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE) Earnings Preview: AI, Competition, and Stock Volatility

Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ: ADBE) is a major software company famous for its creative products like Photoshop and Illustrator. The company primarily earns money through subscriptions to its Creative Cloud, Document Cloud, and Experience Cloud services. It faces growing competition from new companies, especially in the area of artificial intelligence (AI), which is changing the creative software market.

On June 11, 2026, Adobe is scheduled to report its quarterly earnings after the market closes. Wall Street analysts are estimating earnings of approximately $5.83 per share. They also project that the company will report revenue of around $6.45 billion, which would represent about 10% growth from the previous year.

This earnings report is critical as investors are watching to see if Adobe's AI tools, like Firefly, are increasing sales. The company's stock performance has struggled, falling about 30% this year due to concerns about AI disrupting its business. The report will provide insight into how Adobe is handling this new competition.

Traders are expecting a large price movement after the announcement. As highlighted by GuruFocus, options pricing suggests the stock could swing by about 9% in either direction. This is much higher than the stock's average post-earnings move of 3.85% over the last four quarters, showing the market's uncertainty.

Despite the stock's recent performance, Adobe's AI-first Annualized Recurring Revenue (ARR) more than tripled year-over-year in the first quarter. ARR is a key metric that shows how much revenue the company can expect from its subscriptions over the next year. This growth is driven by its new AI products.

Published on: June 10, 2026